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(6. The FAO water balance model and its crop forecasting indicators)
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===7. From water balance indicators to yield estimates=== ===7. From water balance indicators to yield estimates===
-[[Chapter21|7.1]]. Practical introduction to multiple regression techniques and the selection of variables through a principal components analysis+[[Chapter22|7.1]]. Calibrate crop yields against water balance outputs and other variables.
-[[Chapter22|7.2]]. Calibrate crop yields against water balance outputs and other variables. +[[Chapter23|7.2]]. Considerations when computing crop yield maps and create forecasts.
-[[Chapter23|7.3]]. Computing crop yield maps and create forecasts.+===8. Independent indicators===
-===8. Independent indicators derived from satellite imagery===+[[Chapter21|8.1]]. Examples of other weather based indicators.
-[[Chapter4|8.1.]] Introduction to Remote Sensing (CCD and NDVI) and its role in crop forecasting. +[[Chapter4|8.2.]] Remote Sensing and its role in crop forecasting.
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-[[Chapter16|8.2.]] Development of a standard procedure to define actual phenology (in particular crop planting date), based on local practice and satellite imagery +
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-[[Chapter17|8.3.]] The use of Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) images.+
===9. Data and information dissemination=== ===9. Data and information dissemination===
-[[Chapter43|9.1]]. Using other monitoring products in crop forecasting+[[Chapter24|9.1]]. Prepare write-up of products for crop monitoring bulletins
[[Chapter44|9.2]]. Outline of a Weather Impact Bulletin [[Chapter44|9.2]]. Outline of a Weather Impact Bulletin
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-[[Chapter24|9.3]]. Prepare write-up of the products above as inputs to national crop monitoring bulletins 
===10. Setting up a crop monitoring system=== ===10. Setting up a crop monitoring system===
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[[Chapter25|10.2]]. Resources required [[Chapter25|10.2]]. Resources required
-[[Chapter26|10.3]]. Where to get assistance+[[Chapter26|10.3]]. How to get assistance

Current revision

Welcome to the Crop Monitoring Box documentation


1. Introduction

1.1. General introduction to crop forecasting and its methods.

1.2. Crop forecasting philosophy of FAO, an overview.

1.3. The principles of crop modelling and their implementation in the CMBox.

1.4. Crop yield forecasting with water balance calculations.

1.5. Introduction to CMBox software, data formats and GIS.

2. A crop monitoring network

2.1. The two basic modelling options: grid-based and station-based

2.2. Setting up a monitoring network.

2.3. Selection of a reference period.

3. Gathering and calculating weather data

3.1. Entering and importing normal and actual weather data.

3.2. Computing the reference evapotranspiration ET0.

3.3. Preparing and using the dekadal rainfall and ET0 database for crop monitoring

4. Gathering and calculating crop data

4.1. Defining cropping practices and conditions and preparation of polygons for main crop growing areas in the country.

4.2. Analysis of time series of climate and crops to identify trends. Detrending yield.

5. Techniques to use when data are unavailable

5.1. Introduction to Geostatistics and the spatial interpolation of weather and crop data.

5.2. Filling gaps in agricultural statistics.

6. The FAO water balance model and its crop forecasting indicators

6.1. The FAO Water Balance Model. Monitoring crops.

6.2. Gathering all data into the FAO AgroMetShell crop simulation software.

6.3. Run the Water Balance model. Understanding the output of the model.

7. From water balance indicators to yield estimates

7.1. Calibrate crop yields against water balance outputs and other variables.

7.2. Considerations when computing crop yield maps and create forecasts.

8. Independent indicators

8.1. Examples of other weather based indicators.

8.2. Remote Sensing and its role in crop forecasting.

9. Data and information dissemination

9.1. Prepare write-up of products for crop monitoring bulletins

9.2. Outline of a Weather Impact Bulletin

10. Setting up a crop monitoring system

10.1. Introduction

10.2. Resources required

10.3. How to get assistance


Glossary




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